Thursday · 20-AUG-26 · 04:44 ET · Pre-market
Analyze

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

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Call check · waiting on a live last.

MSFT

HOLDBullish

Microsoft Corporation

Sells cloud (Azure), Office, Windows, and Copilot software to enterprises and consumers.

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What to do

Keep what you own. Do not chase it and do not dump it.

  • Nothing here says you must act today.
  • You do not hold MSFT yet.
  • Core compounder, 3-source PASS, slightly below today's average price.
  • Do not add into a yellow AI/Tech crowding print.
  • Do not trim to fund SLV.
  • Sells cloud (Azure), Office, Windows, and Copilot software to enterprises and consumers.
Tape · experienced

Numbers for the tape. The advice above is the one to follow.

Shares
2 (no change)
Entry
478–488 add zone if PASS
Stop
Mental 448 (weekly structure). After-hours mental only.
Conviction
High
  • Action HOLD · conviction High
  • Entry 478–488 add zone if PASS · stop Mental 448 (weekly structure). After-hours mental only. · size 2 (no change)
Price
1Y
No series for this name.
What they do
  • Sells cloud (Azure), Office, Windows, and Copilot software to enterprises and consumers.
  • Microsoft sells productivity software (Office / Microsoft 365 / Teams / LinkedIn / Dynamics), intelligent cloud (Azure, GitHub, SQL Server, Nuance), and more-personal computing (Windows, Surface, Xbox, Bing).
  • Cloud + Copilot attach is the 15% path.
  • HQ Redmond. ~223,000 employees.
On this desk
Held
Yes — TFSA 2.00 shares. Core technology.
Priority
No
Active
No
Eligibility
Hold only. Adds require 3-source PASS + VWAP reclaim. Eligible to hold.
Pre-action

Hold. Adds blocked — Live price check.

Book
  • Book fileClearw1

    Official — book · 0 lines. Updates only on upload or a filled order.

  • Deployable cashClearw1

    USD 0 spendable across accounts. Pending TFSA USD 0 is not cash.

Price
  • Live price checkWatchw10

    No live last this session. Book last-close does not count.

  • Quote freshnessWatchw1

    file fallback — live tape replaces this when connectors are up. Pre-market · live and delayed prints. Stale window 6h — after-hours last regular session plus delayed minute bars.

Risk
  • HY OAS ledgerClearw6

    2.71. Junk spread. Credit fear.

  • Hurst / structureClearw5

    0.49. >0.55 trend. <0.45 mean-revert. Fade the range — do not trend-follow.

  • Single-name sizeClearw4

    Not held. Starter is 3% max, 0.5–1.0% NAV risk.

  • Sector capClearw4

    Open sleeve. Still respect 20–25% sector cap after the fill.

  • Crowding / COTClearw4

    Equity Indices 66th (green). Contribution vehicles only after a book is on the account.

  • Regime · Sideways QuietClearw4

    Range. Fade support and resistance. Mean revert at VWAP. 0.75x size. No breakout chase. Size 0.75x.

  • Sleeve / correlationClearw3

    No sleeve-stack rule on this name.

  • VIX ledgerClearw3

    14.63 · quiet. Implied equity vol.

Process
  • Dollar riskClearw3

    New idea 0.5–1.0% NAV. Earnings satellite 0.25–0.75%, same/next-day exit preferred. Do not promote a satellite to core.

  • Core vs satelliteClearw3

    Core compounder. Do not fund metals concentration with a trim here.

  • Catalyst windowClearw3

    No print in the working window for this name.

  • Standing lessonClearw3

    No standing lesson blocks this name.

  • Stop + after-hoursClearw2

    Wealthsimple cannot stop after hours. Write a GTC limit or a mental stop before the ticket. LIN lesson: respect the stop you wrote, then re-underwrite (1-share rebuild only).